Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.538790 0.623987 0.717494 0.827631 0.953699 1.093391 1.259811
2025-05-25 0.388337 0.501440 0.638628 0.816779 1.041482 1.314934 1.672380
2025-06-01 0.307169 0.429281 0.588500 0.810248 1.109908 1.499460 2.042780
2025-06-08 0.246377 0.367787 0.535875 0.783883 1.138497 1.624911 2.339858
2025-06-15 0.223359 0.352556 0.540699 0.832065 1.268755 1.895014 2.856232
2025-06-22 0.186793 0.310715 0.499928 0.806479 1.286443 2.003641 3.149144
2025-06-29 0.158105 0.276093 0.464300 0.782147 1.300102 2.103610 3.434212
2025-07-06 0.135874 0.248310 0.435130 0.763044 1.317542 2.207947 3.732219
2025-07-13 0.123652 0.235552 0.428513 0.779265 1.392533 2.408375 4.199953
2025-07-20 0.116890 0.231359 0.435611 0.818986 1.510073 2.687652 4.821404
2025-07-27 0.108787 0.223458 0.434937 0.844335 1.604287 2.934737 5.408548
2025-08-03 0.099563 0.212066 0.426334 0.853788 1.670124 3.137162 5.933690
2025-08-10 0.089458 0.197803 0.411100 0.849934 1.712698 3.305059 6.418269
2025-08-17 0.079687 0.182896 0.392887 0.838331 1.739607 3.447337 6.870225
2025-08-24 0.071667 0.170518 0.378122 0.831612 1.774720 3.607062 7.367709
2025-08-31 0.062833 0.155024 0.354914 0.804586 1.765782 3.680499 7.703823
2025-09-07 0.061381 0.156154 0.367238 0.853973 1.918607 4.084108 8.724622
2025-09-14 0.054199 0.142730 0.345957 0.827747 1.909032 4.160224 9.090989
2025-09-21 0.047982 0.130716 0.326334 0.802806 1.899278 4.234292 9.458130
2025-09-28 0.042845 0.120636 0.309924 0.783224 1.899065 4.327655 9.872617
2025-10-05 0.040411 0.117214 0.308975 0.799851 1.982408 4.606658 10.707876
2025-10-12 0.039488 0.117700 0.317645 0.840567 2.125387 5.027367 11.886193
2025-10-19 0.037806 0.115859 0.320246 0.866550 2.235862 5.384372 12.950407